Jake VanderPlas 9/13/2018

The Waiting Time Paradox, or, Why Is My Bus Always Late?

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This technical blog post investigates the 'waiting time paradox,' a phenomenon where the average wait time for a bus can equal the average interval between arrivals, not half of it. It explains the underlying probabilistic principles, connects it to the broader 'inspection paradox,' and uses simulations and real-world bus arrival data from Seattle to analyze the claim.

The Waiting Time Paradox, or, Why Is My Bus Always Late?

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