Thomas Lumley 1/4/2019

Bayesian Surprise — the Shiny app

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This article introduces a Shiny app that visualizes the Bayesian surprise problem, where a data point far from the prior center updates beliefs. It explains how the interaction between heavy-tailed priors and likelihoods shapes the posterior distribution, allowing users to experiment with different statistical distributions.

Bayesian Surprise — the Shiny app

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