9 Lectures on Self-Improving AI Agents: What I Took Away From Stanford's CS 329A

METR's chart has an axis nobody used to plot: how long a task an AI agent can finish on its own. The doubling time is 7 months, traced from GPT-2 through Claude 3.7 Sonnet and measured in human work-minutes. Then the same lecture puts up the 80%-reliability version of that chart, and the horizon collapses. Both lines are real. The distance between them is where most of the hard problems in agent r